Q3 2022 Market Update – Transportation & Logistics
G2 Capital Advisors is pleased to present its Transportation & Logistics industry update for Q3 2022, providing commentary and analysis on M&A and market trends within the sector.
After continued momentum across global transportation services in 1H 2022, a 60%+ year-over-year decrease in global container freight rates (as measured by the Freightos Baltic Index) in Q3 has reinforced economic weakness. More specifically, the cost to ship products across the Trans-Pacific trade lane has cooled from record highs of over $20,000 per container in Q3 2021 to less than $3,000 per container by September 2022. These trends are signaling a drop in consumer demand amid rising inflation and a rebalancing of consumer spending to essential goods and services, while retailers manage bloated inventory levels and temper expectations for holiday spend.
As demand growth has stalled from a muted peak season, ocean vessels are not fully utilized causing spot rates to drop below contract rates. These carriers have increased blank sailings as a strategy to match supply with demand in hopes of establishing a pricing floor. It remains uncertain how quickly this imbalance will correct and whether carriers will be forced to maintain lower capacity in response to the declines experienced across most major shipping routes.
Pricing pressure remains the primary industry challenge which has forced freight forwarders to continue adopting and tailoring processes, technologies and service capabilities to further differentiate their solutions. Those providers with an automated, self-service solution that can provide real-time visibility portals, rate optimization engines, and effective analytics and reporting for customer milestone communication will differentiate their services, improve customer retention and drive future growth and profitability through an uncertain market.